&Better late than
never* probably best encapsulates the response to last week*s launch by the UK
government of a global travel taskforce. Charged with finding ways in which to
cut quarantine procedures and stimulate travel, the group is due to report back
no later than early November, yet already the government is stalling.
Addressing this
week*s Travel Convention from ABTA, Grant Shapps described the government*s preference
of a &test and release* scheme but added that November is ※not a long time to
get to the outcomes and the practicalities of putting something like this programme
in place.§
Shapps said the taskforce
is working on a regime to reduce the self-isolation period after returning to
the UK from high-risk destinations which would mean ※a single test for
international arrivals around a week after arrival§. A negative result would
allow the traveller to be released early from the 14-day quarantine period.
Tests would be provided
by the public sector and paid for by the passenger, said Shapps. He said, ※A
big priority is to make sure any testing regime does not impact on NHS capacity.§
He continued: ※In
addition to that new domestic test and release model, we*re also working on
schemes with partners and countries to establish whether self-isolation could
take place before departure. The main point being that we will consider all options
that increase tourism and business travel but to do so safely and thereby help
the sector recover from this pandemic.§
While there have
been widespread calls for immediate testing upon arrival, Shapps said ※accepting
a &day zero* on arrival test could allow significant numbers of people to
wrongly believe they are not bringing Covid back with them and we believe that has
happened in other countries.§
Meanwhile, the
travel industry is now ※coalescing around the idea of pre-departure testing§
and, for those in the business travel sector in particular, the prospect of
opening up a London-New York travel corridor, says Drew Crawley, chief
commercial officer at American Express Global Business Travel (GBT).
※The first thing is
to replace quarantine with testing. Everyone is aligned with that because if
you don*t remove quarantine through careful risk-mitigated testing you won*t
get people travelling again,§ says Crawley.
The TMC has
proposed to government two pre-trip tests, one 48 hours before departure, one
on departure and then, if necessary, another on arrival. GBT has also proposed
the idea of a quarantine exemption for business travellers who have booked trips
through TMCs.?
※It adds another
degree of risk mitigation in that corporations will have done their own duty of
care assessment and then, when we take over and manage the booking, we know
where that traveller is for 80 to 90 per cent of the time they*re away,§ says
Crawley.?
The first steps, or
any trial, says Crawley, should be applied on travel between London and New
York, one of the world*s biggest international business routes 每 a key route
for corporates but also highly profitable for airlines and TMCs.
※From a commerce
perspective, it*s so important to the UK economy. To have that artery opened up
is critical,§ says Crawley. ※Once we have confidence in the process, add
another five routes a month# scale it up.§
Crawley says that Heathrow
Airport as well as Collinson Group and Swissport who are working with Heathrow
on a test-on-arrival
pilot, are ready to being testing subject to the government*s green light.?
He continues: ※We
just need the starting gun, but we appreciate it*s difficult when Covid cases
are rising.
※The US side is
very positive about the whole thing. The UK side... we have the travel taskforce
now as a device to hopefully review and push this thing along, but they [the
US] are probably a month ahead of us.§
Across the
Atlantic, the Wall Street Journal reported earlier this week that US
officials are keen to create an air
bridge between London and New York by the end of November. Passengers would
be tested for Covid-19 both before their flight and on arrival at their
destination.
Currently, only US
residents, nationals and those in certain exempt positions can travel between
the nations and they must quarantine for 14 days upon arrival in the UK.
Karen Hutchings, global travel, meetings and events leader at EY,
believes the travel taskforce is ※late coming§ and must now ※quickly
accelerate§. Hutchings was speaking on our most recent Week in Review podcast which look at air supply chain viability.?
※The reason there*s
so much focus on London-New York is because it*s number one for so many
organisations and it*s lucrative for all the airlines operating on it,§ says
Hutchings. ※It*s the most logical place to start. If it [a testing regime]
works on that route it will work elsewhere.§
Dave Bishop, chief
commercial officer at Gray Dawes, says London-New York is the TMC*s most
profitable and biggest city pair internationally. ※We await it coming back
eagerly. The sooner it happens, the better,§ he says.
The big question is
indeed when. Asked if he is confident a testing regime could be in place by the
end of the year, Crawley said: ※We*re just going to keep going until it
happens.§
More
disconcertingly, Baroness Harding, head of the UK*s Test and Trace programme,
said earlier this week that airport testing of travellers is not
※a silver bullet to fighting the virus§ and would give no reassurance that
any such scheme would be in place by the end of the year.
Harding was
responding to a question by Focus Travel Partnership chief executive Abby
Penston on the timing of implementation of border testing during a webinar organised by the
UK*s Federation of Small Businesses.
Harding
indicated that testing is only likely to reduce the amount of time spent in
self-isolation after travel, rather than eliminating quarantine completely.
※A negative
test at a point in time only proves that you are not infectious at that point
of time. If you have been travelling from a very high-risk environment then I
would expect that the clinicians will still advise that some kind of quarantine
is necessary,§ she said.
In the meantime,
airlines and airports are taking it upon themselves to get the ball rolling. In
the UK, Virgin Atlantic, which has halved its workforce since the onset of the
pandemic, is trialling
pre-departure testing for its crews on several routes. Results are available
in 30 minutes and have so far led to two asymptomatic cases being identified.
The
airline*s chief executive Shai Weiss has called for urgent action to implement
a passenger testing regime that will help ease travel restrictions. ※Without
the removal of quarantine we will not be able to take off as an economy. Our
team is now reviewing all the opportunities out there for rapid point-of-care
testing pre-departure to allow the UK economy to take off,§ he said at this
week*s Travel Convention.
※This is
going to be passenger-paid# and the cost will come down rapidly. We*re
cooperating with Heathrow and Collinson 每 they*re ready and waiting. We*re
looking at the best standards that will give customers confidence to fly and
governments to know that planes and travel and tourism do not bring infections
with them.§
Weiss
continued: ※We*re working across the [travel] infrastructure to form a
coalition that*s willing to explore what*s necessary for this industry to take
off. While we have our differences [with competitors], we*re united in our
desire to see the economic recovery of this great nation move very rapidly.§
Both Heathrow Airport
and Collinson support the roll-out
of CommonPass, an initiative from The World Economic Forum and The Commons Project Foundation, a
Swiss-based non-profit organisation.
Trials of the &digital
health pass* begin this month between London, New York, Hong Kong and Singapore
with Cathay Pacific and United Airlines, enabling travellers to start sharing
certified Covid-19 test status at borders. Government authorities will observe
the trials.
"Individual
national responses will not be sufficient to address this global crisis,§ says
Christoph Wolff, head of mobility at the World Economic Forum. "Bans,
bubbles and quarantines may provide short-term protection, but developed and
developing nations alike need a long-term, flexible, and risk-based approach
like CommonPass."
It is now more than
eight months since countries across Europe began implementing lockdowns and
travel restrictions and the prospect of business travel recovery still hangs on
freeing up international movement and testing regimes that reduce or eliminate
quarantine requirements. Even well-managed travel businesses with solid
finances will run out of cash if there is no revenue to be had.
※Introducing
a testing pilot in weeks not months is absolutely crucial for restarting
business travel. Without testing, British business cannot travel and trade, and
the consequences for the UK economy will be seismic,§ says Clive Wratten, CEO
of the Business Travel Association.
※The
survival of the business travel sector hinges on the government*s willingness
to act. If business travel cannot restart, the current 50 per cent level of job
losses will be dwarfed by further layoffs. Many thousands more will lose their
jobs, and a vital support structure for the UK economy will be lost forever.§
For the UK, the
situation is even more pressing as the nation nears the end of its transition
period after leaving the European Union in January this year.
※We leave the EU
formally at the end of December and we need to be trading with the rest of the
world,§ says GBT*s Crawley. ※Frankly you cannot trade and create new relationships
through the medium of Zoom or Teams. We must be able to fly in the best
risk-mitigated way as possible and as soon as possible.§